Donald Trump’s foreign policies are set to redefine global alliances, security, and diplomatic relations. His second term is expected to prioritise U.S. self-interest, applying a transactional approach to international negotiations. From Ukraine to NATO and the Middle East, Trump’s decisions will have lasting consequences on global stability.
Trump has vowed to end the Russia-Ukraine war swiftly, threatening tariffs and sanctions against Moscow. However, Russia’s economy has adapted to Western sanctions, limiting their impact. Trump’s close ties to Putin could lead to high-stakes negotiations, but likely at the expense of Ukraine. If U.S. support declines, Kyiv may be forced to make territorial concessions and abandon NATO aspirations to secure peace.
Trump has already influenced Israeli policy, reportedly pushing Netanyahu into a Gaza ceasefire. His administration is expected to prioritise stronger Israel-Arab ties, particularly with Saudi Arabia, to counter Iranian influence. However, a lack of commitment to Palestinian statehood could complicate diplomatic progress. His pro-Israel stance, including past policies like the Abraham Accords, suggests a continued hardline approach that may inflame tensions in the region.
Trump’s long-standing criticism of NATO allies for underfunding defence could lead to reduced U.S. military presence in Europe. While Congress may block a full withdrawal, Trump’s transactional approach means allies could face pressure to meet spending targets or risk diminished U.S. support. His unpredictable stance has already raised concerns among European leaders about the alliance’s future stability.
Trump’s foreign policies focus on direct negotiations and strategic leverage. While this approach could bring diplomatic breakthroughs, it also introduces unpredictability. As global conflicts continue, his administration’s choices will determine whether his policies secure peace—or disrupt the fragile balance of power.
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